Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000126 0.000146 0.000169 0.000194 0.000220 0.000250
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000105 0.000132 0.000165 0.000203 0.000244 0.000294
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000094 0.000125 0.000164 0.000210 0.000263 0.000326
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000084 0.000119 0.000164 0.000219 0.000282 0.000361
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000078 0.000116 0.000166 0.000228 0.000302 0.000393
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000071 0.000110 0.000164 0.000233 0.000316 0.000421
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000063 0.000104 0.000160 0.000234 0.000324 0.000440
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000061 0.000104 0.000165 0.000246 0.000347 0.000477
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000025 0.000054 0.000097 0.000160 0.000245 0.000352 0.000492
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.000051 0.000094 0.000160 0.000251 0.000366 0.000519
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000019 0.000047 0.000091 0.000159 0.000254 0.000377 0.000541
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000018 0.000046 0.000093 0.000166 0.000268 0.000402 0.000581
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000015 0.000043 0.000090 0.000165 0.000274 0.000416 0.000609
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000012 0.000038 0.000084 0.000161 0.000273 0.000422 0.000627
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000010 0.000035 0.000081 0.000160 0.000278 0.000436 0.000654
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.000032 0.000079 0.000160 0.000282 0.000448 0.000680
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000007 0.000030 0.000078 0.000162 0.000290 0.000467 0.000713
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000028 0.000075 0.000160 0.000293 0.000477 0.000736
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000024 0.000070 0.000156 0.000292 0.000482 0.000752
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000024 0.000071 0.000161 0.000304 0.000506 0.000793
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.000021 0.000067 0.000156 0.000301 0.000508 0.000805
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000020 0.000065 0.000156 0.000306 0.000521 0.000833
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000063 0.000155 0.000309 0.000531 0.000855